The city of Tarragona will gain 10,000 inhabitants in 20 years thanks to immigration

According to the population projections published yesterday by Idescat, the city of Tarragona will be one of the 644 Catalan municipalities that will grow in population. Although the palm of the municipalities that grows the most goes to another town in Tarragona, Torredembarra, whose population will increase by 29.5%. In fact, all the municipalities of Tarragonès will gain population.

In the specific case of Tarragona, the city would have 9,894 more inhabitants in 2041, representing an increase of 7.3%. If the figures are looked at in detail, however, it can be seen that the vast majority of new inhabitants of the city would be due to immigration and not to natural growth, that is, to the sum of births and the rest of deaths. . In fact, in the first four years of the projection, between 2021 and 2025, a negative natural growth of -249 inhabitants is expected in the city.

The migratory growth in the city would also go down in a sustained manner during these 20 years, although it would be the one that would mainly support the increase in population. Of the 9,894 more inhabitants that there would be in 2041, 95% (9,389) will be immigrants.

aging population

Another fact to highlight is the age of the population. By 2041 there would be 73,822 women and 71,534 men until reaching 145,356 inhabitants. For those dates, one in four people from Tarragona (25.6%) will be 65 years of age or older; 60.2% will be from 16 to 64 years old and 14.2%, from 0 to 15 years old. Currently the percentage of people over 65 years of age is 18.7%. Differences are also observed in the longevity of women and men. In the case of women, those aged 65 or over will represent 28% of the total, while in the case of men they will be 23%.

In Catalonia as a whole, practically all the municipalities with more than 2,000 inhabitants (320 of the 354) would gain population and two out of every three of those with 501 to 2,000 inhabitants would also do so. On the other hand, half of the small municipalities (less than 500 inhabitants) would lose population.

By degree of urbanization, medium-sized cities and semi-dense areas, which group 204 municipalities, will be the ones that will gain the most population in relative terms, 12%. The 55 large cities will grow 7.4%, while the 688 municipalities located in rural areas will grow 6.3%.

Of the demarcation, the one that grew the least was La Sénia (-6.5%).

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