The Camp de Tarragona, increasingly inhabited, while the Ebre depopulates

The number of inhabitants will increase by 644 Catalan municipalities between 2021 and 2041, while it will decrease by 293 and will remain stable in 10, according to the average scenario of the population projections of the Generalitat's Statistics Institute of Catalonia (Idescat), has The institute informed this Thursday in a statement.

All municipalities in the Baix Llobregat, Garraf, Maresme, Moianès, Vallès Oriental (Barcelona) and Tarragonese (Tarragona) will gain population, while only 17% of the municipalities of Terra Alta (Tarragona) would gain populationwhich would increase to 20% in Noguera (Lleida), 21% in Pallars Jussà (Lleida) and 25% in Les Garrigues (Lleida).

The municipalities with more than 5,000 inhabitants that would grow the most in relative terms are Torredembarra (Tarragona), with 29.5%; San Antonio de Vilamajor (Barcelona), with 28.9%, and Sant Just Desvern (Barcelona), with 28.3%.

At the other end, La Sènia (Tarragona), with -6.5%; Vilafant (Girona), with -3.9%, and Navàs (Barcelona), with -3.7%, would be the municipalities with more than 5,000 inhabitants that would lose the most population.

Almost all the municipalities with more than 2,000 inhabitants, 320 of the 354, would gain population in the horizon of 2041, and two out of every three municipalities with 501 to 2,000 inhabitants would do so, but half of the small municipalities would lose population, 168 of the 332 municipalities with 500 inhabitants or less.

The medium-sized cities and the semi-dense areas, which group 204 municipalities, will be the ones that will gain the most population in relative terms, 12%, the 55 large cities will grow by 7.4% and the 688 municipalities located in rural areas will grow by 6.3 %.

population aging

15% of the municipalities would have positive natural growthwhile 93% will have a positive migratory balance: only 142, 15%, will have more births than deaths in the period 2021-2041.

As a result of the low birth rate, in 2041 the population from 0 to 15 years would decrease in 715 municipalities, three out of four, and so will the population between 16 and 64 years of age in most municipalities, 601 out of 947, and the population aged 65 or over would increase in another 876, nine out of ten municipalities.

Those with the highest percentage of the population aged 65 or over in 2041 would be La Almendra de Mar (Tarragona), with 37.2%; La Rápita (Tarragona), with 35.8%; San Fost de Campsentelles (Barcelona), with 34.9%, and Canet de Mar (Barcelona), with 34%.

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